Theresa May’s failure may be indicating a hard change for Brexit.
Theresa May witnessed failure two weeks before the start of talks with the EU. Negotiations for a hard Brexit and Britain’s future, are indeed facing unpleasantness. It looked like the Conservatives had everything in control; they pushed up their proposal for leaving the EU, and even tried to justify the benefits of a hard Brexit for the UK and then the snap elections turned tables. Is it the answer on the choice of a hard Brexit, or perhaps a sign of remorse for the ones who voted a “no”?
Although the Prime Minister’s decision to go on with a hard Brexit was in order to keep a control over immigration and law-making, which was in the interest of Britons, obviously, the majority do not agree that leaving the EU single market would be a good idea. However, Theresa May still didn’t give any indication that the vote will change the strategy. But of course, since she has made it clear that the will of Britons would be followed, the election result can still be a good incentive for those who voted against Brexit now.
However, it is not the end of the game, as it looks like. Although many expected to see her resign, Theresa May prepares a new tactic. The Conservatives lost 13 seats in the House of Commons and now have 318 seats, but they still do not surrender. May sees the new coalition with the Democratic Unionist Party from Northern Ireland, which won 10 seats, as a possible solution to the sudden obstacle on her path. However, this would have a price, since they want to maintain a “frictionless border” with the Irish Republic. Whether this would be acceptable for the Conservative party, remains to be seen. On the other hand, the Labour party, which won 262 seats, could join with the Scottish Nationalist Party which has 35 seats and the Liberal Democrats with 12 seats and form a strong coalition. This would mean that hard Brexit could be replaced with soft Brexit, which apparently would also mean that May would resign.
Either way, the clock is ticking. Commission President Donald Tusk said that they would give time to Britain, but the UK must be aware that the two-year deadline expires on March 29, 2019. Regardless of whether Theresa May would stay in her position with the help of a coalition, the legitimacy of her negotiations will be questionable because of the results of the snap elections. On the other hand, the nation has apparently supported the idea of the Labour party that a soft Brexit is better for Britain. Thus, May could also consider to change her mind and agree on a soft Brexit. In any case, the negotiations will be difficult and result will not be at the will of all, due to the differences in people’s opinions about staying in the single market or otherwise, since both options would have consequences for Britain. In the meantime, the Pound drastically dropped as a result of British political uncertainty, while the UK and the EU relationship is strained even more. There is perpetual disagreement on several issues – who should pay and how much, what will happen to the citizens of the EU who live in the UK and conversely, how they will arrange their mutual trade, etc. And on all of that, the terrorist attacks make these problems even larger. A really incommodious situation.